Supported Independence: The Bridge Between Where You Are and Where You Want to Grow

By 2034, the industry could face a shortage of 90,000 to 110,000 advisors — roughly 30% to 37% of current headcount — at current productivity levels, according to McKinsey. McKinsey also estimates that the number of advised relationships will grow at least 28% over the next decade, from 53 million today to at least 67 million by 2034. Meanwhile, Cerulli Associates projects that $84.4 trillion in wealth will transfer across generations through 2045, with $72.6 trillion going directly to heirs. 

But the much-discussed advisor talent shortage isn’t a supply problem; plenty of capable, motivated people want to build careers in this industry. The gap is in development.

Experienced advisors aren’t building environments that foster next-gen talent, and that’s a missed opportunity.

The demand curve is steep and rising, while the curve heads in the opposite direction. The advisors best positioned to capitalize on the impending chasm are the ones preparing to exit. Many of them have 30 or 40 years of experience, strong books of business, and hard-won knowledge that took decades to accumulate. If that knowledge walks out the door with them, no amount of recruiting will make up for it.

Why Firms That Want to Win Can’t Wait

Most advisors hire reactively, waiting until they’re stretched thin and then searching for a unicorn employee who can contribute immediately. But as experienced advisors continue to exit, waiting is no longer a viable option. 

Younger advisors need time to learn the work. They need to observe client conversations before they lead them and make mistakes in low-stakes situations before they’re trusted with complex ones. The kind of growth required to excel in our profession doesn’t happen within a six-month runway. It builds over years, and only when a senior advisor makes an intentional commitment to teach.

Hiring early is also a retention strategy. Research consistently shows that client attrition spikes sharply when a practice changes hands without built-in continuity. A client who has met your junior advisor, worked with them on smaller matters, and trusts them is less likely to walk away when leadership eventually transitions. 

What to Look for in a Next-Gen Candidate

Resist the urge to hire a finished product. This goal is to find someone who can learn, not someone who already knows everything. 

The traits that characterize advisory success in this role are less technical than you might expect: curiosity, communication skills, coachability, work ethic, and comfort discussing difficult or sensitive matters with clients. 

Test for these things directly. Ask candidates to explain a financial concept to you as if you’re a first-time investor. Have them sit in on a client meeting and debrief afterward. Give them a real scenario, not a theoretical one, and see how they approach it. What you’re evaluating is more about judgment and the willingness to grow than knowledge parroted back from a course or textbook. 

Invest in Development

Even advisors with the best mentoring and career development intentions can get sidetracked by the week-to-week demands of running a practice. But that leaves a junior advisor adrift, uncertain, and more likely to leave the profession entirely.

Build mentorship into a structured schedule with dedicated weekly touchpoints, gradual client exposure marked by clear milestones, and a defined progression of responsibility, so the junior advisor always knows what they’re working toward. 

One advisor recently shared a set of leads he’d ignored for nearly a decade with a younger colleague on his team, who had the knowledge and confidence to start working them. Now the senior advisor is more engaged in his own business than he’s been in years, and referrals have started flowing again. The mentorship benefited the senior advisor, the junior colleague, the leads who are now being advised, and the firm itself.

The Business Impact of Cultivating the Next Generation

Nearly 38% of today’s advisors are expected to retire within the next decade. Advisors who invest in developing younger talent will be able to capture the demand from the impending exit wave while retaining existing clients. 

Hiring a junior advisor isn’t a favor to the industry; it’s a strategic decision that expands your capacity, deepens your client relationships, and increases the long-term value of what you’ve built. Every experienced advisor who commits to developing one person creates a multiplier effect that the industry desperately needs.

 

If we were having this discussion three years from today, and you were to look back over those three years to now, what would have had to have happened, both personally and professionally, for you to feel proud of your progress?

Three years can sound like a long time, but in reality, it’s just 12 quarters and 36 months. Where do you see your firm? Where do you see yourself?

As business strategist Dan Sullivan said, “Your eyes can only see and your ears can only hear what you are looking for.”

At Silver Oak, we want to know what you’re looking for because clarity is the first step toward progress.

A Defining Moment for Independent Advisors

The next decade will redefine the advisory landscape. Opportunity has never been greater, but neither has the pressure on time, operations, and technology.

Consider what’s ahead:

The Great Wealth Transfer By the Numbers

  • Short-term windfall (Next 10 years): Approximately $1.4 trillion per year—nearly $14 trillion total—is expected to flow to Gen X households. Cerulli Associates identifies Gen X as the largest near-term beneficiary of the wealth transfer.

  • Mid-term outlook (Next 25–30 years): Gen X is projected to inherit ~$39 trillion with a median inheritance of about $199,000 per household.

  • Long-term forecast (Through 2045): Roughly $30 trillion is expected to pass to Gen X, one of the largest generational shares in history.

  • Ultra-high-net-worth transfers: Among ultra-wealthy families, $31 trillion will change hands in the next decade, most of it to individuals in their mid-to-late 40s.

  • Wealth concentration: Gen X now holds ~26% of U.S. wealth—up from 15% in 2013—and a total of about $39 trillion in assets.

The message is clear: opportunity is not the problem. Access, structure, and scalability are.

Have You Hit a Ceiling?

When you take market performance out of the equation, what does your firm’s growth really look like? Is it +5% or closer to the 2% industry average?

Many firms aren’t limited by talent or potential; they’re limited by bandwidth. Advisors spend more time in the business than on the business, managing complexity instead of pursuing growth.

Supported independence was built to change that. We believe in abundance and the concept that 10x is better than 2x. We believe this industry should be a growth engine.

Freedom with a Framework

Supported independence gives advisors the freedom to build their business their way, without facing the obstacles alone. It’s about combining autonomy with access: access to tools, technology, expertise, and a community of peers who share your ambition.

It means you don’t have to choose between independence and support. You can have both.

Whether you’re ready to scale, hire, or plan your eventual exit, the first step is the same: let go of the vine. Free yourself from the operational weight that keeps you from focusing on what really drives progress: clients, relationships, and strategy.

The Silver Oak Approach

Every advisor deserves a structured and supportive partnership to grow with intention. That’s why we’ve developed solutions around five key areas of our business—the pillars of supported independence:

  • Wealth Management

  • Financial Planning, Insurance & Comprehensive Services

  • Business Development, Branding & Marketing

  • Technology & Operations

  • Business Planning & Practice Management

These pillars provide the foundation for freedom—to help you focus on what you want to do, not just what you need to do.

The Next Step

If your practice has hit a ceiling or if you simply know there’s more potential waiting to be unlocked, now is the time to take action.

The future of advice belongs to those who are both independent and supported.

Come spend a day with us. See how Silver Oak’s supported-independence model can help you build the firm you’ve envisioned—one that’s not just successful today, but built to last for decades to come.